In two previous articles of mine, I suggested that after the change in Iraq, the Middle East is definitely changing, but not necessarily by a systematic way into freedom, democracy and more integration with the world, rather, it is changing into uncertainty. And there is an encounter between an extremist campaign, represented by the Middle East totalitarian axis led by Iran, and a moderate campaign in the Middle East.

Hence, Iran’s role is of key importance in the changing Middle East and, more precisely, in the way the change would take in the Middle East.

The key factor, which empowered Iran to have this role and effect, is oil’s financial returns, especially after the huge rise in oil prices. This essential financial cover has enabled Iran to fund various groups and organizations affiliated with Iran or with its project and interests in the Middle East. And even to fund militias, especially in Iraq, and many parties in Arab Gulf countries, which have Shiite minorities in their populations. The main obvious examples of this fact are Hezbullh and Hamas.

Iran even funded some Syrian arms contracts according to convergent reports.

Then, this financial cover is indispensable means to empower the Middle East totalitarian axis, to enable its role, and to realize its interests in the region.

Now, this financial cover is seriously endangered due to the big decrease in oil prices accompanying the international financial crisis. I have read that Iran loses a million dollars daily with every one-dollar decrease in oil price, according to an expert.

Therefore, Iran is in a very difficult situation. Its role and entire project in the Middle East are in danger if this situation does not change.

We need some months to start seeing the results of this new situation, and to perceive its consequent change at the level of the Middle East.

However, it is definitely a blow to totalitarianism and extremism in the Middle East.